Yufeng Tu Libros

Focusing on the stochastic nature of the U.S. National Airspace System, this study critiques existing deterministic decision-support tools in air traffic flow management. It emphasizes the need to account for the randomness of flight departure delays to enhance predictions of airspace congestion. The proposed models demonstrate strong predictive capabilities and robustness, potentially improving the Federal Aviation Administration's Enhanced Traffic Management System. The mathematical algorithms presented can also be applied to similar challenges in other fields, targeting professionals and researchers in Air Transportation and Statistics.

The U. S. National Airspace System (NAS) is inherently highly stochastic. Yet, many existing decision-support tools for air traffic flow management take a deterministic approach to problem solving. This study aims to focus on the random and dynamic nature of flight departure delays to provide a more accurate picture of the airspace traffic situation, improve the prediction of the airspace congestion, and advance the level of decision making in aviation systems. Several models were proposed in this work based on the trends and patterns demonstrated by the delays. These models show reasonable goodness of fit, robustness to the choice of the model parameters, and good predictive capabilities. They could further advance the Enhanced Traffic Management System that is currently adopted by the Federal Aviation Administration. Mathematical algorithms used in this work can be adapted to similar problems in other fields. The book is addressed to professionals and researchers in Air Transportations and Statistics.