Campaigns Don't Count

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The book explores Allan Lichtman's innovative system for predicting presidential election outcomes, developed in the early 1980s. By analyzing historical data from past elections since the Civil War, Lichtman identified key factors that influence incumbent success. His remarkable accuracy in predicting elections, including those in 2004, 2008, and 2012, has earned him recognition as a leading expert in election forecasting. The narrative also examines the implications of his system, including a critical discussion on its perceived infallibility.